Devising the perfect Daily Fantasy Sports strategy for the NFL can be a challenge, which is why I’m here weekly to assist.
On DraftKings, it’s important to you’re playing full-point PPR with bonuses if a player sures 300 ing yards, 100 rushing yards or 100 receiving yards.
Here is my optimal lineup for Sunday’s $3.5 million Fantasy Football Millionaire contest, but it can be utilized as a foundation in other games and platforms.
All prices listed are courtesy of DraftKings with a $50,000 budget.
These lineups have netted $75, which means I’m $10 in the black with an average score of 148.78 points through four weeks.
Year-To-Date Results
Week 1: 170.52 points
Week 2: 141.30 points
Week 3: 130.78 points
Week 4: 152.50 points
QB: Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins ($7,100)
According to Pro-Football-Reference, the Giants have the second-highest blitz rate (49.6 percent), but are tied for the ninth-lowest pressure rate (20.8 percent). That’s a recipe for disaster against Mike McDaniels’ hyperdrive offense and Tua the marksman.
RB: James Conner, Cardinals ($5,800)
If Arizona can avoid a negative game script against the struggling Bengals offense, Conner can eat. He’s a workhorse (almost 18 touches per game) with an elite role facing a defense allowing 4.9 yards per carry to opposing running backs.
RB: Breece Hall, Jets ($5,400)
Head coach Robert Saleh confirmed Hall is no longer operating under a pitch count. He’s looked healthy and explosive in limited touches so far, averaging 6.6 yards per carry. According to FantasyPros, the Broncos rank in the bottom three in explosive run rate, missed tackles allowed per attempt, and yards after per attempt.
WR: Tyreek Hill, Dolphins ($9,000)
Hill is one of seven receivers in this season averaging at least 10 targets per game. In 21 games with Miami, he’s received double-digit targets 11 times. Hill has produced 102 receptions for 1,549 yards and eight touchdowns in those games.
WR: Jaylen Waddle, Dolphins ($7,500)
Waddle’s probably the most obvious buy-low target in fantasy football outside of daily. I’m using him here because it’s time for the squeaky wheel in Miami’s offense to get some grease and double-stacking Tagovailoa with his top two targets actually provides some leverage on the field where De’Von Achane is expected to be chalk this week.
WR: Wan’Dale Robinson, Giants ($3,000)
Speaking of chalk, Robinson is my top option if you’re looking for salary savings on DraftKings this week. His playing time and target share shot up in Week 4. The dynamic slot receiver is Daniel Jones’ security blanket, as well as an extension of the run game with Saquon Barkley possibly out.
TE: Darren Waller, Giants ($5,400)
The Dolphins are one of nine teams allowing at least 10 fantasy points per game to tight ends and the G-Men should be chasing points all afternoon. Head coach Brian Daboll just witnessed his former team, the Bills, put up 48 points on the scoreboard against Miami using primarily his scheme — and better players, but still. I’m sure Daboll was taking notes and if they have any chance in this game, either Waller or Robinson (or both) will have to produce against a defense that has proven beatable.
FLEX: Rashee Rice, Chiefs ($3,600)
Rice ran the third most routes for Kansas City receivers last week and had the second most targets on the team behind only Travis Kelce. The talented rookie and Justin Watson ($3,400), the Chiefs’ deep threat, are both great values against a Vikings defense allowing the most fantasy points to wide receivers this season.
DST: New York Jets ($3,100)
Saleh’s defense remains formidable and provides positive correlation with my use of Hall.
